Musk Warns “Humans Are Disappearing”: Singapore’s Fertility Rate Falls to 0.87, Government Pours Resources into Boosting Births
【天网美西时间2026年8月24日讯】（天网义工编辑）
[Tianwang, Pacific Time, August 24, 2026] (Edited by Tianwang Volunteer)
2026年8月24日，埃隆·马斯克在X平台转发并评论新加坡最新生育政策时，只留下一句简短却沉重的话：
“Humans are disappearing”（人类正在消失）
On August 24, 2026, Elon Musk quoted and commented on Singapore’s latest fertility policies on X, leaving only a brief but heavy remark:
“Humans are disappearing.”
这句话背后，是新加坡刚刚公布的残酷数据：2025年总和生育率已跌至 0.87，远低于维持人口更替所需的 2.1。这意味着平均每名女性一生只生不到一个孩子，人口长期萎缩已成定局。
Behind this statement lies Singapore’s newly released stark figure: the total fertility rate in 2025 has fallen to 0.87, well below the 2.1 needed for population replacement. This means the average woman will have fewer than one child in her lifetime, locking in long-term population decline.
新加坡不再空谈，直接砸钱
Singapore Stops Empty Talk and Directly Pours Money In
面对生育率持续崩塌，新加坡政府推出一套力度罕见的综合催生政策，核心思路很明确：直接降低生养孩子的金钱、时间和住房成本。
Faced with continuously collapsing birth rates, the Singapore government has rolled out a rarely seen comprehensive package of pro-natalist measures. The core idea is clear: directly reduce the financial, time, and housing costs of raising children.
金钱支持方面：
Financial Support:
• 每名新加坡籍儿童从出生到17岁，可获得约 7万新元 的直接现金支持。
• 出生第一年发放 1万新元 “宝宝礼金”。
• 1至16岁每年再发 2000新元。
• 另有MediSave、儿童发展账户（CDA）、Edusave以及17岁时额外 1万新元 教育补贴。
• 无论是第一胎还是第四胎，基础支持标准相同。
• Every Singaporean child will receive approximately S$70,000 in direct cash support from birth to age 17.
• A S$10,000 “Baby Gift” is given in the first year.
• An additional S$2,000 is provided each year from ages 1 to 16.
• Further support includes MediSave, the Child Development Account (CDA), Edusave, and an extra S$10,000 education top-up at age 17.
• The baseline support is the same regardless of whether it is the first or fourth child.
时间与假期：
Time and Leave:
• 育儿假根据孩子数量增加：一孩 8天、两孩 10天、三孩及以上 12天。
• 假期覆盖范围延长至孩子 12岁。
• 政府承担法定育儿假的部分成本，减轻企业负担。
• Childcare leave increases with the number of children: 8 days for one child, 10 days for two, and 12 days for three or more.
• Leave coverage now extends until the child reaches age 12.
• The government will cover part of the cost of statutory child-related leave, reducing the burden on employers.
住房与托育：
Housing and Childcare:
• 首次购房家庭每多一个孩子（包括已怀孕），在政府组屋（BTO）抽签中可获得额外机会。
• 组屋申请收入上限从 1.4万新元 提高到 1.6万新元。
• 目标到2030年，政府支持的全日制托儿费用降至每月约 150新元，婴儿护理约 300新元。
• First-time home-buying families will receive an extra BTO ballot chance for every child they have or are expecting.
• The BTO income ceiling is being raised from S$14,000 to S$16,000.
• The target is to bring government-supported full-day childcare down to about S$150 per month and infant care to about S$300 per month by 2030.
新加坡政府明确表示：单纯发钱已经不够，必须同时解决“没时间、没房子、托育贵”这些实际摩擦。
The Singapore government has made it clear that cash alone is no longer enough. It must also address the real frictions of “no time, no housing, and expensive childcare.”
“人类正在消失”并非夸张
“Humans Are Disappearing” Is Not an Exaggeration
马斯克长期反复警告，发达社会的低生育率是 比气候变化更严重的文明级危机。新加坡只是最新、也最刺眼的例子。东亚多国已陷入超低生育率泥潭：韩国、台湾、香港、日本、中国大陆，生育率均长期低于 1.3，部分地区甚至接近 1.0。
Musk has long and repeatedly warned that low fertility rates in developed societies constitute a civilizational crisis more severe than climate change. Singapore is merely the latest and most glaring example. Multiple East Asian societies have already fallen into ultra-low fertility traps: South Korea, Taiwan, Hong Kong, Japan, and mainland China all have fertility rates long below 1.3, with some areas approaching 1.0.
当一个社会整体选择“不生或少生”，劳动力萎缩、养老体系承压、创新能力下降、文化传承断裂等问题会在未来二三十年集中爆发。移民可以暂时补充人口数字，却难以完全解决年龄结构、社会凝聚力与文化延续的深层问题。
When a society as a whole chooses to have fewer or no children, problems such as shrinking labor forces, strained pension systems, declining innovation capacity, and broken cultural transmission will erupt intensively over the next two to three decades. Immigration can temporarily boost population numbers, but it cannot fully resolve deeper issues of age structure, social cohesion, and cultural continuity.
新加坡这次的政策，至少在行动上承认了现实：如果想让人们愿意生孩子，就必须让生孩子变得 “更容易、更不痛苦”。至于这些措施最终能把生育率拉回多少，仍有待观察。但至少，它没有选择继续假装问题不存在。
Singapore’s latest policies at least acknowledge reality in action: if a society wants people to have more children, it must make having children “easier and less painful.” Whether these measures can ultimately raise the fertility rate remains to be seen. But at least Singapore has not chosen to keep pretending the problem does not exist.
马斯克的那句 “Humans are disappearing”，或许正是对整个发达世界最直白的提醒。
Musk’s phrase “Humans are disappearing” may well be the most straightforward warning yet to the entire developed world.
