Musk’s Predicted Ukraine-Russia Peace Plan Has Come True / 马斯克预测的乌俄和平计划应验

【64tianwang, 9:50 p.m. PDT, October 14, 2026】(Edited by Tianwang Volunteer) 【天网美西时间2026年10月14日晚上9时50分讯】(天网义工编辑)

Elon Musk posted at 8:10 p.m. PDT tonight: “Exactly what I predicted has happened.” He was quoting a post that laid out the timeline of his own peace proposal for Ukraine and Russia. In October 2022 he laid out a path to peace and was attacked by almost everyone. In November 2023 he told Lex Fridman why he had proposed it: a lot of people dying for basically almost no changes in land, with an entire generation of young Ukrainians and Russians paying the price. Two and a half years after the original proposal, he warned that Ukraine should seek peace or suffer severe loss of life for no gains, and called continuing the war cruel and inhumane.

埃隆·马斯克今晚美西时间晚上8时10分发帖:“我预测的事正好发生了。”他引用的是一条把时间线摆出来的帖。2022年10月他提出了一条和平路径,几乎所有人都攻击他。2023年11月他在接受莱克斯·弗里德曼采访时解释为什么提出:很多人死去,基本上几乎没有土地变化,一整代年轻的乌克兰人和俄罗斯人在付代价。在最初提议两年半后,他警告乌克兰应该寻求和平,否则会为没有收益而遭受严重生命损失,并称继续战争残酷且不人道。

On October 3, 2022, Musk posted a four-point proposal and put it to a poll. Redo elections in the annexed regions under U.N. supervision. Russia leaves if that is the will of the people. Crimea formally part of Russia, as it has been since 1783 until Khrushchev’s mistake. Water supply to Crimea assured. Ukraine remains neutral. He followed with another poll: the will of the people who live in the Donbas and Crimea should decide whether they are part of Russia or Ukraine. He said he did not care if the proposal was unpopular. He cared that millions of people may die needlessly for an essentially identical outcome. Russia has more than three times the population of Ukraine, so victory for Ukraine is unlikely in total war. If you care about the people of Ukraine, seek peace.

2022年10月3日,马斯克发了一份四点提议并开了投票。在被吞并地区重新举行选举,由联合国监督。如果那是人民的意愿,俄罗斯就离开。克里米亚正式成为俄罗斯的一部分,因为自1783年以来就是,直到赫鲁晓夫的错误。确保克里米亚的供水。乌克兰保持中立。他接着发了另一条投票:住在顿巴斯和克里米亚的人民的意愿,应该决定他们是属于俄罗斯还是乌克兰。他说他不在乎提议不受欢迎。他在乎的是数百万人可能为了一个基本上相同的结果而无谓死去。俄罗斯人口是乌克兰的三倍以上,所以全面战争中乌克兰不太可能胜利。如果你关心乌克兰人民,就寻求和平。

The post he quoted tonight said that today the world is talking about the same kind of deal he proposed, only after hundreds of thousands more lives were thrown into a meat grinder for almost nothing. He was right then, and he is right now. Musk’s own line is only that what he predicted has happened. The timeline and the judgment that he was right are in the post he quoted.

他今晚引用的帖说,今天世界在谈论的是和他当时提议的同类协议,只是在此之前又有数十万人被扔进绞肉机,几乎什么都没换来。他当时是对的,现在也是对的。马斯克自己的话只有一句:他预测的事发生了。时间线和“他是对的”这个判断,在他引用的帖里。

At 7:23 p.m. PDT the same night, Musk posted again: “And so the slaughter continues … Time for Zelensky to go.” He was quoting a post that said Zelensky has no intention of ending the war until Russia is defeated, and that his greatest fear is ending the war and facing a presidential election, because if he lost he would most likely be prosecuted. The two lines are Musk’s. The claim about Zelensky’s fear of an election and prosecution is in the post he quoted.

同一晚美西时间晚上7时23分,马斯克又发了一帖:“于是屠杀继续……是时候让泽连斯基离开了。”他引用的是一条说泽连斯基无意结束战争直到俄罗斯被击败、他最大的恐惧是结束战争并面对总统选举、因为如果输了最有可能被起诉的帖。两句是马斯克自己的。关于泽连斯基害怕选举和被起诉的说法,在他引用的帖里。

President Trump has said Ukraine needs a leader who will sign. The Oval Office was the first no. He has secured Russian diesel and told Ukraine to choose a leader who can make a deal. The deal being discussed now is the same kind of deal Musk put on the table in 2022: stop the killing when the land has barely moved, and do not spend another generation on a war that returns almost nothing.

川普总统说过,乌克兰需要一个愿意签字的领导人。椭圆办公室是第一次拒绝。他拿到了俄罗斯柴油,并告诉乌克兰选出一个能达成协议的领导人。现在被讨论的协议,和马斯克2022年摆上桌面的同类:当地几乎没有移动时就停止杀戮,不要再把另一代人花在一场几乎什么都不换来的战争上。

(完)

Related 天网相关链接: https://x.com/elonmusk/status/2110568956100841655 https://64tianwang.net/archives/4836 https://64tianwang.net/archives/4832 https://64tianwang.net/archives/4876